Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Hurricane Sandy losses worse than Irene: disaster forecasters

(Reuters) - Hurricane Sandy appears to have easily caused more losses than last year's Hurricane Irene, but final totals will be hard to come by for some time because of the scale of the disaster, catastrophe forecasting companies said on Tuesday.

Sandy left millions without power, caused widespread flooding that may shut New York City's subways for days, and killed potentially dozens of people up and down the U.S. east coast.

RMS, one of the three primary firms used by the insurance industry to calculate disaster exposures, indicated that Sandy should outdo the roughly $4.5 billion in insured losses Irene caused after hitting the northeast in August 2011.

"Sandy event is much more severe ... and has impacted NYC to a much worse degree than Irene," RMS said in a storm report early Tuesday.

Its assessment follows that of peer Eqecat, which said late Monday that Sandy was likely to cause anywhere from $5 billion to $10 billion in insured losses and from $10 billion to $20 billion in economic losses.

If Eqecat is correct, Sandy would rank as the fifth-worst hurricane in history, based on inflation-adjusted losses, according to the Insurance Information Institute.

A better picture should emerge in the days ahead as insurers get their catastrophe teams into the most affected areas and begin making assessments. Allstate said it had more than 1,100 claims staff staged and ready to go once the storm has passed.

Eqecat and its peers are likely to refine their estimates as well. AIR Worldwide, the other large disaster modeler, is due to release its own initial estimate over the next day.

Most financial analysts expect that an insured loss of even $10 billion would have little effect on the insurance and reinsurance industries, aside from a probable hit to fourth-quarter earnings.

Shares in U.S.-listed insurers will not trade again on Tuesday because of the ongoing market closure, but in Europe insurers and reinsurers opened on relief that losses are apparently manageable.

European reinsurance analysts at Citi said Tuesday the losses were unlikely to have any impact on pricing for next year, which is expected to be flat at best in the January contract renewals due to excess industry capacity.

(Reporting by Ben Berkowitz; editing by Prudence Crowther)

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/hurricane-sandy-losses-worse-irene-disaster-forecasters-130841795.html

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Receive Immediate Cash with Payday Loans | Marish Group of ...

Posted

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The payday loan was a great deal of help when I needed money the most. Read more about payday loans online and also instant payday loan

Article source: http://marisharticles.com/?p=37327

Source: http://marish.info/marish-articles/receive-immediate-cash-with-payday-loans/

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Monday, October 29, 2012

President Obama Says Gun Violence Happening 'Just Blocks' From His Chicago Home

'I have friends whose family members have been killed,' the president says in MTV News' 'Ask Obama' special about how he will address gun-related crime in his city.
By Gil Kaufman, with additional reporting by Sway Calloway


President Barack Obama during "Ask Obama Live"
Photo: MTV News

Source: http://www.mtv.com/news/articles/1696378/barack-obama-gun-violence.jhtml

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Saturday, October 27, 2012

Doing Business in New Zealand is Easy - New Zealand Taxation ...

New ZealandNew Zealand has once again been ranked as one of the easiest countries in which to do business, and is the jurisdiction with the quickest company formation period in the world.

In the Doing Business 2013 report jointly released by the World Bank and the International Finance Corporation on October 23rd, New Zealand was ranked third in the ?ease of doing business? index.

In the report New Zealand was regarded as the country with the easiest regulations for starting a new business, with only one procedure to complete, which takes only one day, compared to the OECD averages of 5 procedures over the course of 12 days.

New Zealand is also ranked as the country with the best rules for the protection of investors, having the highest possible index scores for extent of disclosure, shareholder suits, and the extent of director liability.

New Zealand was also considered to be the second best jurisdiction for registering property, with the two process necessary to register a property taking a total of two days and costing approximately 0.1 percent of the average value of the property.

New Zealand was also ranked 4th and 6th for getting credit and working with construction permits.

In regards to resolving insolvency, enforcing contracts, paying taxes, working across borders and getting electricity, New Zealand was ranked 13th, 17th, 21st, 25th and 32nd respectively.

Photo by Dooooogie


Related News:
New Zealand Economy is One of Freest in World
NZ is the Second Best Country for Business
Business Owners Support Tax Simplification
New Zealand Outperforms Australia in Recession
New Zealand Rises in Competitiveness Ranks

Source: http://www.newzealandtaxation.com/2012/10/doing-business-in-new-zealand-is-easy/

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Friday, October 26, 2012

Dutch PM Rutte close to coalition agreement: media

AMSTERDAM (Reuters) - The Netherlands moved closer towards forming a new pro-European government after Prime Minister and Liberal leader Mark Rutte reached a preliminary agreement with the Labor Party on the main economic policies, Dutch media reported on Thursday.

An agreement between Rutte's Liberals and Diederik Samsom's Labor Party to form a broadly pro-European coalition is widely expected within the next week or so, media said.

Rutte won the most seats in the September 12 parliamentary election, which was held against the backdrop of the euro zone crisis, rising unemployment, housing price declines and a stagnant economy.

The two party leaders have been in coalition talks ever since, a process which can typically drag on for months.

"These talks have been fast and smooth," said Famke Krumbmueller of the Eurasia political-risk consultancy.

"It shows that they are well aware of the economic environment they are operating in."

Few details have leaked out, with both Rutte and Samsom refusing to discuss the negotiations publicly.

However, Dutch media reported on Thursday that agreement had been reached on a broadly pro-European stance and on several economic policies which will now be analyzed by the Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis (CPB) to assess their economic impact.

These include reforms of the labor and housing markets, considered important in making the Dutch economy more efficient and helping to revive a sagging property sector.

The agreement includes a limited reduction of the deductibility of mortgage interest rate costs for existing, interest-only mortgage holders, as well as measures that would make it easier for employers to fire people, and cuts in unemployment benefits, the newspaper NRC Handelsblad reported, although it said that last-minute changes were still possible.

Bernard Wientjes, head of the largest employers' organization, and Ton Heerts, head of the largest trades union confederation FNV, also met with Rutte and Samson on Thursday, fuelling talk that a broad-based agreement was close.

Wientjes warned that the Netherlands still faced further spending cuts of billions of euros when quizzed by reporters about the negotiations.

(Reporting by Sara Webb and Gilbert Kreijger, editing by Rosalind Russell)

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/dutch-pm-rutte-close-coalition-agreement-media-154953335--business.html

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HTC Sweetens The Deal For Its Windows And One Phones With Best Deals Service In Europe

UK DETAILTo drive more consumers to its handsets in Europe, HTC is turning to exclusive content. Today the company is launching a daily deals service called Best Deals, which is rolling out today in the?UK, Italy, Germany, France and Spain. Best Deals will aggregate daily deals on food, travel and more from 12 companies: LivingSocial, Trip Advisor, Qype Deals, iVoucher, Offerum, Lookingo, Lets Bonus, Elgrupazo, Daily Deal, Deal Ticket, Getbazza and Prezzo Felicea. Only users of HTC's flagship Windows and Android phones -- Windows Phone 8X and 8S handsets, which launch in November, and HTC One X+, HTC One X and HTC One S -- will be able to get the service, which launches with 1,700 offers in the hopper.

Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/Techcrunch/~3/iR9csMd37a0/

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Video: Archer fish hunt insects with water jet 6 times stronger than their muscular power

Video: Archer fish hunt insects with water jet 6 times stronger than their muscular power

Thursday, October 25, 2012

Archer fish knock their insect prey out of overhanging vegetation with a jet of water several times more powerful than the fish's muscles. New research now shows that the fish generate this power externally using water dynamics rather than with any specialized internal organs. The research, published Oct. 24 in the open access journal PLOS ONE by Alberto Vailati and colleagues from the University of Milan, provides the first explanation for how archer fish can generate such powerful jets to capture their prey.

Other animals like chameleons and salamanders store energy in collagen fibers in their bodies and abruptly release this stored energy to project their tongues at high speeds, but previous studies on archer fish have ruled out such specialized organs as the source of the powerful water jets.


Low-resolution color movie showing an archer fish shooting a jet of water to a prey supported by a clear plastic film. During the shooting the mouth of the fish barely emerges from the interface between water and air, while the rest of his body remains submerged. The image sequence has been grabbed at 400 frames/s and is played at 25 fps

The authors of the current study used high-speed video recordings of archer fish knocking insects out of overhanging plants to study the mechanics of the water jet and found that the fish could modulate the velocity of the jet to create a single large water drop that hit the prey with a large force. According to the authors, this approach avoids the evolutionary costs needed to develop special internal structures to store these large amounts of energy.


This is a movie of archer fish firing a flurry of blows at prey. Credit: L. Zinnato

"The origin of the effectiveness of the jet squirted by archer fish has been searched for inside of the fish for nearly 250 years. The striking finding of our work is that a large amplification of muscular power occurs outside of the fish and leads to a very powerful impact of the jet with the prey" says Vailati.

###

Vailati A, Zinnato L, Cerbino R (2012) How Archer Fish Achieve a Powerful Impact: Hydrodynamic Instability of a Pulsed Jet in Toxotes jaculatrix. PLoS ONE 7(10): e47867. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0047867

Public Library of Science: http://www.plos.org

Thanks to Public Library of Science for this article.

This press release was posted to serve as a topic for discussion. Please comment below. We try our best to only post press releases that are associated with peer reviewed scientific literature. Critical discussions of the research are appreciated. If you need help finding a link to the original article, please contact us on twitter or via e-mail.

This press release has been viewed 43 time(s).

Source: http://www.labspaces.net/124815/Video__Archer_fish_hunt_insects_with_water_jet___times_stronger_than_their_muscular_power

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Samsung Galaxy Note II for T-Mobile now available for $370 on contract

Samsung Galaxy Note II for TMobile now available for $370 on contract

T-Mobile may be a bit late to the Samsung Galaxy Note II party, but the mega-sized 5.5-inch smartphone has now landed in its online store for $370 on contract. You'll need to commit yourself for two years to get that price, but if you can manage it, the quad-core packing handset looks to be ready to ship in Marble White or Titanium Gray shades. Its presence in the store slid under the radar with few other details or fanfare, but if you've been eying a T-Mob variant of the phablet with bad intent, check the source to see how to grab it.

[Thanks, Amon]

Filed under: , ,

Samsung Galaxy Note II for T-Mobile now available for $370 on contract originally appeared on Engadget on Wed, 24 Oct 2012 05:12:00 EDT. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

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Source: http://feeds.engadget.com/~r/weblogsinc/engadget/~3/qWABlZRRQnU/

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Facebook's progress in mobile wins it friends on Wall Street

(Reuters) - Facebook Inc's shares were set to open about 25 percent higher on Wednesday after its quarterly results showed a surprising jump in revenue from mobile advertising, easing concerns that the company was having trouble capitalizing on soaring use of smartphones and tablets.

Several brokerages raised their price targets on Facebook shares, which have plunged since the company went public on May 18. Barclays Capital raised its target to $26 from $23, while Jefferies & Co raised its to $32 from $30.

Facebook shares, priced at $38 in their initial public offering, closed at $19.50 on the Nasdaq on Tuesday.

Facebook said on Tuesday it now gets 14 percent of its advertising revenue from mobile ads, a far bigger increase than mostly skeptical analysts had expected.

Over time, Facebook's growing expertise in mobile advertising, combined with more user data, will drive mobile monetization for the company, Colin Sebastian, an analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co, wrote on a note.

Sebastian has a "outperform" rating on the stock and a price target of $32.

Needham & Co analyst Laura Martin said Facebook had opportunities to increase branded advertising revenue as top brands increase their association with the company in some form.

Martin, who has a "buy" rating on the stock and a price target of $25, noted that more than 50 percent of Facebook's monthly active users in September accessed Facebook with mobile devices.

Facebook's advertising revenue increased by 36 percent to $1.09 billion in the third quarter.

Facebook had a painful trading debut in May as investors fretted about its slowing revenue growth and the large pool of additional shares set to hit the market as "lock-up" restrictions on employee share sales expired.

Analysts said the lock-up period expiry remained a near-term concern, but the company' newly proven ability to monetize its overall advertising model could allay those concerns.

(Reporting by Neha Alawadhi in Bangalore; Editing by Ted Kerr)

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/facebooks-progress-mobile-wins-friends-wall-street-131317254--sector.html

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Thursday, October 25, 2012

DuPont to cut 1,500 jobs

DuPont will shed 1,500 jobs.

The DuPont Co. on the same day of a weak third-quarter earnings report, announced it will cut 1,500 jobs, Bloomberg Businessweek reports.

The chemical company (NYSE:DD) reported net income of $10 million for the quarter, down from $452 million for the same period a year ago, partially due to uncertainty in the solar panel market. Two years ago it added 75 workers to its Circleville plant to make protective film for solar panels.

Profit in the performance-chemicals unit declined on lower demand for the white pigment titanium dioxide, and electronics earnings fell on lower sales of photovoltaic materials, Bloomberg reported.

The restructuring will take place over the next 12 to 18 months and involve cuts to its Wilmington, Del. headquarters staff that supports the automotive and industrial paints unit, which is being sold to The Carlyle Group.

DuPont shares tanked 9.1 percent Tuesday, or $4.53, to close at $45.23, according to the Philadelphia Inquirer.


Morning Call is compiled from news reports originated by other media organizations and Columbus Business First staff.

Evan Weese is web coordinator for Business First.

Follow Your Favorites with My News

My News is a way to create a customized news feed based on companies and industries that matter to you.

Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/bizj_columbus/~3/plOYwmY_-zM/dupont-to-cut-1500-jobs.html

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Out-of-the-box ways to pay for college | The Stillwater Gazette

Kockelman

Today?s average student borrower takes out more than $25,000 in loans. Education debt has reached record levels in America ? more than $1 trillion. In the face of those numbers, parents and students are looking for assorted ways to pay for college without incurring big liabilities. 1

In addition to grants, loans, merit-based aid and your student holding down a job, there are other ways to reduce college cost ? some little recognized.

First, how expensive will college be? Can you project the total cost of your student?s college education? Assuming five years in school (which is the average for today?s undergrads) and no change in majors along the way, can a financial aid officer give you a ballpark figure? If not, an online resource such as Alltuition.com may be able to estimate it for you. 1,2

Presumably, you opened a 529 plan or some other form of college savings fund for your student years ago. If those funds aren?t enough, where can you find other resources to meet a projected shortfall?

What about outright gifts of cash? If you or relatives or friends have the money, that is an option. Will you suffer gift tax consequences as a result? No. If the money constituting that completed gift is used directly to pay tuition expenses at an educational institution, that gift is not taxable. It will not cut into your annual gift exclusion amount ($13,000 for 2012) or your lifetime unified credit (currently set at $5.12 million). 3,4

One caveat, however: if you make any kind of tuition payment on behalf of your student, which will be characterized as untaxed income on the FAFSA (Free Application for Federal Student Aid). That could wipe out your student?s chances of getting any need-based financial aid. This is why some families elect to put off tuition gifts until a student?s senior year. 4

Can you reduce your taxable income to get your student more financial aid? You may be able to do so. If getting federal student aid is your objective, knocking down your taxable income (through moves big and little) might make a big difference.

On the FAFSA, family income matters more than family assets. Retirement account balances, net worth attributable to home values and small businesses ? none of this matters, it doesn?t factor into the needs analysis. The FAFSA is used to determine the expected family contribution (EFC), which is the combination of funds that the parent(s) and student can make available for a school year. The gap between the EFC and the expected total education costs of the school year represents the level of financial need weighed in determining federal student aid. 5

So the lower your EFC is, the greater your level of financial need will be ? and the greater amount of federal student aid that may be available. This is why many parents and students elect to spend down their combined savings and assets set aside for college during the freshman year. With no assets left for the sophomore year (and by this same logic, subsequent academic years), eligibility for federal student aid is wide open. Of course, you may be also opening a door to potential long-term debt.

There are other ways to alter your tax picture to get your student some financial aid ? aid not linked to lingering debt.

Have you heard of ?tax scholarships?? No, not scholarships linked to a state tax credit (though those may be worth a look). These are de facto scholarships that you may be able to create for your student with the help of a CPA or financial advisor (and the IRS). If you can find or arrange new tax deductions this year, you can redirect that money toward your student?s college expenses. Savvy business owners and professionals often make this move.

What about untraditional scholarships? For example, CollegeNet.com currently offers a ?weekly scholarship? running between $3,000-10,000. Collegians themselves decide which applicant deserves the funds. There are other such examples.1

Can you negotiate tuition? At first instinct, does that seem rude, uncouth? It may prove smart ? and it is done. There are such things as tuition discounts (and grant programs) offered to those who negotiate, even those not eligible for need-based aid. If a university really wants your student, you may have some leverage.

Are you willing to go the JC route, or the online route? Going to a local junior college for the first two years of study toward a bachelor?s degree can save a student, and family tuition, housing and travel and auto expenses, and maybe a little anxiety

If your student decides he or she wants to major in oceanography instead of marketing, you haven?t paid $10,000 or $20,000 a year to arrive at that conclusion.

Recognizing the costs of housing, commuting and parking permits, some colleges are offering parts of their curriculum online or in more accessible settings ? for example, Virginia Tech offers introductory math courses through computer labs and the University of Minnesota?s new Rochester campus uses part of a local shopping mall to hold classes. While taking classes on a computer or at some obscure satellite campus may not give you the full university experience, it may help to reduce expenses.2

Need help with college planning? Talk with a financial professional well versed in the matter ? sooner rather than later.

Todd Kockelman is a registered representative with Packerland Brokerage Services, Inc. and? may be reached at 651-204-0655 or Todd@K-Ffinancial.com. www.K-Ffinancial.com

?

Citations

1. www.dailyfinance.com/2012/04/19/paying-for-college-two-websites-offer-outside-of-the-box-ideas/ (4/19/12)

2. www.businessweek.com/printer/articles/70120-student-loans-debt-for-life (9/6/12)

3. www.irs.gov/uac/In-2012,-Many-Tax-Benefits-Increase-Due-to-Inflation-Adjustments (10/20/11)

4. www.education.com/reference/article/pay-college-saving-understand-gift-tax/ (9/6/12)

5. thechoice.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/01/11/fafsaq-and-a/ (1/11/11)

?

Source: http://stillwatergazette.com/2012/10/24/out-of-the-box-ways-to-pay-for-college/

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SEO Client Spotlight ? PinPros | search engine optimization | Utah ...

For the last decade, PinPros has specialized in buying, selling and trading collector pins. Evolving to fit the needs of customers, PinPros realized that there was a large market for designing, selling and manufacturing high quality, custom-made lapel pins, which is where their business predominantly lays in today?s market.

Specializing in carrying a wide variety of pins, PinPros offers custom lapel pins, sports trading pins, hard enamel, soft enamel, dietruck, photodome, diecast, buttons, patches, banners, custom coins, custom belt buckles, flexible magnets, accessories and attachments.

PinPros has a massive artwork gallery that includes sports trading pins, organizations, government, schools, religious organizations, corporate, photodome, flags, sorority, fraternity, unique pins, fridge magnets and awareness ribbons. Standard orders include free artwork, six colors, setup, molds and UPS ground shipping. PinPros guarantees their expert team will respond to quotes within one business hour or less. Additionally, products are ready to ship within 10 business days or less and they pride themselves on offering pins at low prices, with no hidden costs or fees.

PinPros also offers PMS color matching.? With a wide variety of sizes and quantities available, customers can order pins for every type of occasion ? albeit it graduation, fundraisers, political campaigns and local events.

An excellent tool in the corporate world, PinPros specializes in corporate marketing projects, business advertisements and promotions, especially those prominently displayed at tradeshows. Employee recognition pins are also extremely popular, helping corporations recognize outstanding work and employee achievements.

PinPros expert artists can help create unique charity fundraiser pins, as well as those associated with local clubs, associations and schools. Working with local organizations to design detailed graphics, the professionals at PinPros never over-promise results and believe honesty keeps the communication path open. Specializing in discount prices, they focus just as much on the quality of the pins being produced, being that price and satisfaction are measured equally.

PinPros works with MWI, a local Utah Web Design company, that specializes in Internet marketing. Helping create user-friendly consumer websites, they focus their designs on target audiences and how to best improve a company?s marketing results. Using the latest Internet marketing techniques, including Search Engine Optimization (SEO), keyword research, keyword strategy, Pay Per Click setup, Pay Per Click configuration, Pay Per Click management, Pay Per Click consulting, Pay Per Click training, conversion improvement, marketing reports, website analysis, Internet marketing consulting, link building, Linkbait development, blog development and CSS/XHTML coding, they strive to help companies increase revenues with tested Internet marketing services.

Source: http://www.mwi.com/blog/search-engine-optimization/pinpros.html

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European group warned about observing Texas elections

by WALT ZWIRKO

WFAA

Posted on October 23, 2012 at 5:09 PM

Updated yesterday at 7:00 PM

Texas Attorney General Greg Abbott issued a warning Tuesday to international groups hoping to observe the November 6 general election: Steer clear of polling places.

In a stern letter addressed to the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe, Abbott noted that "OSCE?s representatives are not authorized by Texas law to enter a polling place" and added it "may be a criminal offense" for them to get within 100 feet of a voting station.

"Failure to comply with these requirements could subject the OSCE?s representatives to criminal prosecution for violating state law," Abbott wrote.

The attorney general noted in his letter that OSCE had "reportedly met with" other organizations that have filed lawsuits challenging Texas voter ID laws. Abbott singled out Project Vote as being "closely affiliated with ACORN, which collapsed in disgrace after its role in a widespread voter-registration fraud scheme was uncovered."

Project Vote has been critical of a Texas law requiring photo ID at polling places, although a federal court has blocked its implementation for the general election.

Abbott added that while international groups like OSCE are welcome to learn more about the election process in Texas, "groups and individuals from outside the United States are not allowed to influence or interfere with the election process in Texas."

WFAA.com has asked the OSCE and Project Vote to respond to the attorney general's letter.

Members of organizations from the United States, including former President Jimmy Carter's The Carter Center, routinely observe elections in other countries to help ensure that balloting is conducted fairly and without fraud.

Source: http://www.wfaa.com/news/texas-news/Texas-issues-warning-to-international--175498771.html

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Above The Line:Practical Movie Reviews Birthday News Year 2.5 ...

I have to say I?ve been working on this birthday post for far too long, so long actually that had this been a Hallmark card, to be snail-mailed card, the price of stamps would have risen in the nexus. ?I didn?t get it together soon enough to actually be on or around the official date of celebrating. ?Above The Line?s actual birthday was May 18th ? so HAPPY BELATED BIRTHDAY!!! ?[queue birthday song, hold the lyrics please] Above The Line: Practical Movie Reviews?is very grateful to you, my reader, whether this is your first visit or one of many, blogs are only as successful and dare I say useful as we find them, share them and trust them. ?In the movie business we?re often inundated with salesman at every corner, and awards shows are often no real help in determining what to watch and why. ?At every turn we?re faced with ad campaigns and target assignments with ?best? this and ?award earner? that, the next great thing making room for what is already right in front of us ? yesterdays hits making a slow, sure slide into tomorrow. ?Often blogs fall victim to the push to get it right, to summarize and tidy up short quips about the best and the worst in order to keep us moving to the box office and rental queues for product. ?These days it?s getting harder and harder to cater to the least common denominator ? that is shorter is better when it is shortest ? but truth be known I made that choice some time ago to write what I write and let length be determined by how passionate I am about the film, filmmaker, art and artist. ?I?m not the longest winded blogger out there or the best (ahem, back slapping aside, I do abide) or the most concise but I?m honest and I?m a filmmaker and I offer that to you every time I sit down to a review. ?I?ll keep writing as long as you keep reading. ?Thanks for dropping by, half a slice of virtual birthday cake, leave me a word or two on what you think, I always reply.

If you?re wondering how or why I didn?t post this sooner, well, I didn?t forget so much as I got behind and then stuff happened, like it always does and May turned into July, night for day then September snowballed into the last day of summer and now there are pumpkins everywhere to contend with. ?What started off somewhere around December last year went the way of all good intentions and wayward resolutions, calendar pages turning making you forget more than you can remember. ?Well, lets just say I?ve had a few bumps in the road and all those reasons aside, I?ve got a lot of catching up to do so why not make up a day for your celebrating like Christmas for Halloween, Easter in the Winter, Louis Riel Day?in November,?Dragon Boat Festival?all day in April ? like Above The Line?s May birthday in October. ?Besides, there?s only six months until we do it all again anyway!

It was May 18th, 2010 when I posted my first review of Sin City.? I have no idea why I picked that movie but there it is, my most humble beginnings. ?I also write OP-EDs and editorials, essays on art and film, formal criticism and features on artists I know (like my wife, Melissa) and others, like my friend James and other celebrities, like Tom Hardy and Joan Rivers. ?My bread and butter, so to speak are the reviews which also appear in other forms, formats and publications (thankfully). ?I?ve had some pretty great things happen along the way, joining forces to provide a feature column of sorts for the online entertainment network and portal Actors and Crew, frequent appearances and shared articles for Rodney over at Fernby Films, various publications for Yahoo?s Contributor Network, contributing writer for the national movie news and reviews site Movie-Vault.com, one being earlier this year when Warner Bros. Home Entertainment chose me among the many, many movie bloggers out there to write Blu-ray movie reviews for them. ?Another cool thing happened on August 7th?when I posted Batman: America?s James Bond and reached my 200th blog post. ?You know that feeling you get when you?re sliding down a hillside on a sled made out of a cardboard box and you?re finally going pretty fast and the wind is in your hair and your hearts beating a mile a minute and all you want is for it to last forever and those seconds, those moments of disconnect from the planets gravitational pull give you wings and you?re a kid and you can do anything?writing a blog isn?t anything like that but it?s a whole other kind of fulfillment. ?Writing gives me my every kind of reason to believe in doing it all over again, and again so here we go, lets begin.

I?m not sure what I was thinking when I first cooked this idea up, having no way of knowing exactly how much work was going to be involved. ?I didn?t know what the format was going to be but?I knew I didn?t want to use the gimmicks that are often overused, like stars and thumbs and popcorn tubs. ?I thought the best plan would be to try to look at reviews from the inside out, to capitalize on my experiences as a filmmaker to make reviews more practical, less plot point analysis and more about the experience of the movies. ?I used to think there weren?t that many people doing it until I found lists to the contrary, plenty of people with big ideas and opinions and at first that made me feel like what could I contribute? ?Then I realized there aren?t a lot of filmmakers who write reviews ? thus Above The Line was born. ?Once I got over opening Pandora?s box and accepting the fact there was no way of putting it back, I bit down hard, braced for the inevitable collision, and hung on for dear life! ?I?ve?been stumbling ever since to be quite honest but it?s been truly rewarding (mostly) and almost always (very often) exciting. ?More than anything I want to help people kinda like the way old football greats trade in their helmets and athletic supporters for desks and microphones, sideline quarterbacks and studio commentators. ? A lot of these guys have real staying power because they?ve been down there in the muck and the mire and when they start talking about it, writing about it, explaining it, you want to trust them ? or maybe they just have a funny way of being there again and you can connect in a way that?s different from?other guys who?ve never even walked onto a set, much less been involved in making a movie come to life. ?They say writer?s write and filmmakers make movies and sometimes they blog about the collision of the two.

Two and a half years later, 205 blog entries and counting, some 55,000 visitors pushing 100K with all that other traffic ? I?ve written somewhere around a quarter of a million words for this blog. ?That?s crazy talk ? but here it is ? the good, the bad and the something. ?I?ve written reviews and editorials, covered films, filmmakers and the in between, covered?stand up?comedians, art shows, artists and filmmakers, walked the red carpet and dined al fresco with the Oscars.? Exploring the myths and legends of Hollywood and the immortal movie screens of our lives is as rewarding as it has been daunting, catching up the hiccups and high art of our greatest entertainers and curious spirits.? It takes tens of hundreds of hours to do it all, this, thousands probably and I?ve seen my work picked up by Warner Bros. Entertainment, syndicated for a Los Angeles entertainment network magazine, featured in publications online and in print all over the world from my home in California?s San Francisco Bay Area. ?I?ve?met amazing artists and writers, joined the ranks of bloggers everywhere, finally, after years seeing my poetry and prose published by print markets of small presses and magazines before all this great wide open Internet white space everything. ?Do you remember before the internet? ?Do you remember writing the old-fashioned way? ?Typing? Keyboarding? ?Black type writer ribbon ink and carbon paper crinkly sheets? ?The funny thing is, just when I?m just beginning to break into a stride it seems it all hangs so preciously on going on forever or ending tomorrow. ?But I just keep on keeping on because I need it now more than ever and I gotta keep reaching out into the void to see what I touch and what touches me back.

I hit my busiest day recently, on July 29th with 555 unique visitors to my blog, somewhere between The Dark Knight review, Christopher Nolan Master & Commander of Cinema, and Batman: America?s James Bond I started averaging 300 people a day and it?s been steadily climbing since.? I have big plans and hope to keep all this up but anyone who maintains a regular blog or writes for a living can tell you, it?s all one post away from the next or nothing.? I hit an all time high month in August with 9770 visitors and if all things go well I?ll end this year doubled what I had last year and maintain the momentum of doubling each year and so on and so on until I reach my goal of a world-wide audience.? I keep juggling my other writing as well, a memoir that I?ve spent too many years talking about and the film scripts that continue to change, stay the same, mature and refine.? Mostly I keep going for the same reason I got started, to challenge the notions of what movie reviews can be and should be, if not always then more times than anything.

Above The Line: Practical Movie Reviews has quite a diverse audience with traffic coming in from all over the place. ?Of course my biggest audience is right here in the good old USA, which makes sense I guess, followed by the United Kingdom, Canada, India and Turkey.? The Philippines, Australia (thanks Rodney, Fernby Films), Germany (Peter), Mexico (GR?), Greece, Hong Kong and Brazil (Pauola?).? Poland, Netherlands, Egypt, Singapore and Hungary all tie, plus Argentina, Sweden, Malaysia, Taiwan and Israel are plenty close.? The Russian Federation sounds so novel, have to throw a shot out to Portugal for all my people, the places I?ve been and need to go; there?s Georgia (not that one) and Serbia, a bunch of others tied for just barely coming by, then Italy of course and France (Pat), New Zealand (is that you?) and way down there, almost not at all, it?s Latvia, Estonia, Moldova, Costa Rica, Bahamas, Puerto Rico and Kyrgyzstan ? and actually, almost a hundred others.? I have to put this birthday back slapping to rest now so I can get on with my next movie review.? Recently it?s been The Hunger Games and the Indie character flick Loosies, the other day it was the late Tony Scott?s The Hunger for old times sake, Days of Thunder with Tom Cruise, the yucky Five Year Engagement that I don?t recommend, and a hapless return to the three-picture atrocities of George Lucas before scurrying around the find something, anything to erase the memory.? Up next is anyone?s guess and most of all my doing.? For now I still rent from a little movie shack down the road, a place for lost souls and cinephiles, everyday people caught between grocery shopping and pharmacy visits and chain store secret shopping trips.

Movies remind us of the magic of escapism and high adventure, of getting away and reminiscing, of the child we are and used to be gathered in the dark for the next go at dreaming and pretending and imagining what dreams may come when last we look up into the sky and ask ourselves where will we go this time? ?I?ll be here, man, because well, the dude abides writing about my high-colored times, low ones too, marveling at the movies and you. ?See you soon.

About rorydean

Rory Dean is a writer, filmmaker, marketer, new media maharishi and producer. His personal and professional interests include dreaming and avid notebook journaling, creative and copy writing, promotions and marketing, audio/video production, photography, videography, editing, web design and new media. He?s also a fan of collaboration and knows when to turn the reigns over, offer feedback, lead the team and step aside. His portfolio includes print, online, film, video, photography, graphic design and promotions. He?ll show you. He has a book and everything. "When not juggling various online worlds, I do a pretty good mime ? but that?s another story."

Source: http://rorydean.wordpress.com/2012/10/24/above-the-linepractical-movie-reviews-birthday-news-year-2-5/

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Obama's Ground Game Makes Iowa Tough Turf For Romney

It's Election Day in Iowa, and it has been for weeks.

Recent polling in the state shows Republican Mitt Romney quickly closing the gap in the presidential race, but that may be less and less important with every day that passes. Political watchers say President Obama has been successful this year at getting his supporters to take advantage of Iowa's early voting system and that likely has given him a head start at a time when he still leads in the polls.

Pollster Ann Selzer, who runs the respected Des Moines Register survey, said there are signs that Iowans who have already cast a ballot are leaning heavily toward Obama.

"Two-to-one, people who say they have already voted are Barack Obama supporters," Selzer told TPM. "The majority of people who plan to vote early are Barack Obama supporters. The majority of people who plan to vote on election day, Romney supporters. I think that's what's gets tricky ? you have to have a huge margin on election day to offset the Democrats."

Early voting in Iowa began on Sept. 27, and already nearly 520,000 people requested early ballots, according to elections officials. Of those, some 347,000 had filled out and returned them as of Oct. 22.

In 2008, a little more than 1.5 million people voted in Iowa and the state's six electoral votes went to Obama by a solid 9.5 points. Few expect that sort of margin this time around, and polling throughout the summer suggested the state might be one of Romney's best pick-up opportunities.

"I think that [Romney's] early showing has a lot to do with there being a Republican caucus and nothing happening on the Democratic side," Selzer said. "You had a lot of Republican messages in this state, a lot of 'Fire Barack Obama' messages. ... So that had a lasting impact."

As the summer faded, Obama started to tick up in the state in September and October, even though current polling has been mixed.

"The reason Obama became stronger is two things ? first of all there are economic signals that things are getting better, and that became a little hard to ignore ... and I think Obama has in place a stronger ground game, and that is starting to pick up," Selzer said. "So all of the people that he had in place from four years ago, a lot of that infrastructure is still there. Romney sat out Iowa, really, and has chosen to have less presence in terms of a ground game ... and in Iowa, with so much early voting, that ground game is really critical."

And that could make all the difference in the state. Polls of late have been more cloudy -- President Obama held a solid 8-point lead in a NBC News/Marist College poll released Thursday, but Romney was up 49 percent to Obama's 48 percent in a survey from Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling the day after. But among likely voters ? a solid 34 percent of the NBC/Marist sample and 31 percent those polled by PPP ? two-thirds had already cast their ballots for the president, with a third going for Romney.

Overall, the PollTracker Average of Iowa shows Obama with a small lead.

"When likely voters intend to cast their ballot tells us a lot about what is happening in Iowa," Lee M. Miringoff, director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, said in a statement, citing the Obama advantage among early voters. "In contrast, Romney leads by double digits with those who will vote on Election Day."

That means a key for the Obama campaign will be to overwhelm the Republican ticket before Nov. 6 so that Election Day becomes somewhat a foregone conclusion.

Selzer pointed the youth vote. During the last month, President Obama, Vice President Biden and First Lady Michelle Obama have all campaigned on college campuses with an early voting station set up nearby. That allows the campaign to point supporters directly to the place where they can drop off their ballots before the buzz of the rally wears off.

Selzer said that kind of push could send early voter turnout to huge levels this year. Thirty-two percent of Iowa voters cast their ballots early in 2008 and 35 percent did in 2010. The question this year is whether it will approach 50 percent.

"If it's half, that will be jaw-dropping," Selzer said. "But it feels within the realm of possibility."

Source: http://news.yahoo.com/obamas-ground-game-makes-iowa-tough-turf-romney-102426723--politics.html

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How Much Sex Is Too Much Sex? | Greatist

Maybe you?ve skipped dinner and gone straight for dessert before, but if you?re skipping meals (and other vital things) to have sex instead, you might be having too much of it. While science suggests?sex can?improve mood and decrease anxiety?by?reducing stress?signals in the brain, it?s possible doing the deed can interfere with leading a healthy life[]. Don?t get us wrong ? sex is a normal, healthy, fun part of adult life. In fact, Greatist Expert Ian Kerner says sexual attraction and sexual compatibility are the basis of many successful relationships. Thinking with our nether regions may be natural, but continually acting on those thoughts while the laundry piles up for weeks may be a sign of a sexy-time dilemma. So how much sex is normal, and how much is too much?

Bed Post

Sex Rx ? Why It Matters

Let?s break down the deets between the sheets. According to the Kinsey Institute, 18- to 29-year-olds have sex an average of 112 times per year, while 30 to 39-year-olds do the deed (on average) 69 times per year (what a convenient number). So if that?s average, what?s healthy? Kerner says most couples in a relationship should be having sex at least once per week. And couples therapist?Dr. Barry McCarthy agrees that once or twice a week makes for a healthy sex life. During the infatuation stage (also known as the honeymoon stage, when two people can?t stop thinking about each other) couples often have sex every time they?re together, Kerner says. And when couples first move in together, the frequency of sex increases (but only temporarily)[].

With all that, err, gyrating, sex can get a bit uncomfortable. (Let?s just say our bodies can?t exactly stay lubricated indefinitely.) If there?s pain or numbness, it?s smart to slow down or bag it for the night. Using lubricant can make for more pleasurable sex, and can actually help ensure safe sex because it makes condoms less likely to break. Lubricants also allow cut down on that painful friction. Whether a marathon or a quickie, sex should be fun, and most definitely shouldn?t cause bodily damage.

Let?s Get It On (But Not Too Much) ? The Answer Debate

It may be a cue to hop out of bed when sex?gets in the way of leading a normal, healthy life.?Having nookie through breakfast, lunch, and dinner, and skipping out on the 9-5 just because you?d rather shag like Austin Powers can become problematic if it happens on a regular basis. (But seriously, sex addiction can be a real problem, so if your sexual habits are getting in the way of day-to-day life, it?s best to consult a doctor or therapist.)

At the end of the day, it comes down to quality over quantity. Having a ton of sex doesn?t mean it?s too much, so long as both partners enjoy it, Kerner says. If one partner is much more satisfied than the other (read: one is having more orgasms than the other), than sex can feel like a daunting chore.

There?s no ?right? way to go about sex, and preferred amount can vary from person to person. For a fulfilling sex life that?s juuuuuust right, it?s helpful to be honest and open about how frequently you?d like to get jiggy with it. One study found?couples who communicate about sex ? especially during the act ? are more sexually satisfied. If it feels like too much (either physically or emotionally), let your partner know you need a break. Sex can be dangerous if there?s any sort of pressure or force to do something you don?t want to do.

Just remember compromise is key: Instead of singling one person out for how much or how little they want sex, research suggests assessing the couple as a whole and that meeting in the middle can be helpful[]. As funny and un-sexy as it sounds, it may even be smart to schedule sex so the lower libido partner doesn?t feel pressured, and the higher libido partner doesn?t feel rejected[]. Our hunger to get frisky comes and goes, and successful couples need to manage those ups and downs. Sometimes libidos will be matched, but when they?re not Kerner says we need to take responsibility for our sexuality, by enjoying ourselves by ourselves. ?Masturbation is an important aspect to a healthy life. If you have a higher libido, masturbate more,? he says.

Thanks to Greatist Expert Dr. Ian Kerner and Dr. Barry McCarthy for their help with this article.

How much sex do you think is too much? Let us know in the comment section below or tweet the author @nicmcdermott.

?

Source: http://greatist.com/health/too-much-sex-advice/

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Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Sony Creative Software Songwriter?s Acoustic Guitar Companion WAV

 Sony Creative Software Songwriters Acoustic Guitar Companion WAV

Sony Creative Software Songwriter?s Acoustic Guitar Companion WAV | 870 MB


With Songwriter?s Acoustic Guitar Companion: Expanded Edition, Leo Cavallo and Sony Creative Software name you, the songwriter, as the primary beneficiary of this incredible, 24-bit, double-disc collection of essential chord patterns. Browse through these sounds and you?ll be endlessly entertained and amazed as you try to name all the smash hit singles born with just an acoustic guitar, a timeless lyric, and chord progressions just like these! Your amazement will turn into pure inspiration as new songs emerge from your desktop studio, one after another.
For our special Expanded Edition, ace producer Leo Cavallo has embellished this already stunning collection with more than 200 megs of fresh material, making your Companion into a full on construction kit! Enjoy a fine assortment of electronica loops ? beats, basses, sweeps, arpeggios, FX, and more ? from the producer of our Bass Taster, Downtempo Beats, Euro Techno, ACID? Techno Expander Pack, and Mellow Jazz/Funk Elements collections. But there?s more! For this Premium Collection offering, Leo created two fabulous ACID projects that showcase these sounds in combination with a wide selection of sounds from throughout our catalog! Use these royalty-free tracks to kick-start your creative process, get ideas for new tracks, drop onto your multimedia timeline, or enjoy as reference materials for exploring songcraft in ACID. Sony Creative Software is paying attention to the songwriters who love and use our tools. The Songwriter?s Acoustic Guitar Companion collection is a breakthrough product that proves it once again: ACID software and Sony Sound Series? libraries provide the best solutions for songwriters working in the desktop studio environment.

home page:
http://www.sonycreativesoftware.com/leocavallo

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How highway bridges sing -- or groan -- in the rain to reveal their health: Just a drop of water can indicate the stability of a bridge

ScienceDaily (Oct. 22, 2012) ? A team of BYU engineers has found that by listening to how a highway bridge sings in the rain they can determine serious flaws in the structure.

Employing a method called impact-echo testing, professors Brian Mazzeo and Spencer Guthrie can diagnose the health of a bridge's deck based on the acoustic footprint produced by a little bit of water.

Specifically, the sound created when a droplet makes impact can reveal hidden dangers in the bridge.

"There is a difference between water hitting intact structures and water hitting flawed structures," Mazzeo said. "We can detect things you can't see with a visual inspection; things happening within the bridge itself."

The study presents a more efficient and cost-effective method to address the mounting safety concerns over bridge corrosion and aging across the U.S. and beyond.

While impact-echo testing for bridges is nothing new to engineers, the BYU researchers are the first to use water droplets to produce acoustic responses. Current testing relies on solid objects such as hammers and chains.

The idea is to detect delamination, or the separation of structural layers, in a concrete bridge deck. The most common method involves dragging a chain over a bridge and marking spots where dull, hollow sound is produced.

However, this method can take hours to carry out for a single bridge and requires lane closures that come with additional complications.

"The infrastructure in the U.S. is aging, and there's a lot of work that needs to be done," Guthrie said. "We need to be able to rapidly assess bridge decks so we can understand the extent of deterioration and apply the right treatment at the right time."

The study results, published in the October issue of Non-Destructive Testing and Evaluation International, could help transform deck surveys into rapid, automated and cost efficient exercises.

The method is as simple as dropping droplets of water on the material and recording the sound. The acoustic response indicates the health of the concrete.

"The response gives you an indication of both the size and the depth of the flaw," Mazzeo said.

Mazzeo said the method could be used to test materials beyond bridges, including aircraft composites, which are susceptible to delamination.

Though the current research is preliminary, the researchers envision a day where bridge deck surveys would take only a few moments.

"We would love to be able to drive over a bridge at 25 or 30 mph, spray it with water while we're driving and be able to detect all the structural flaws on the bridge," Mazzeo said. "We think there is a huge opportunity, but we need to keep improving on the physics."

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Story Source:

The above story is reprinted from materials provided by Brigham Young University.

Note: Materials may be edited for content and length. For further information, please contact the source cited above.


Journal Reference:

  1. Brian A. Mazzeo, Anjali N. Patil, W. Spencer Guthrie. Acoustic impact-echo investigation of concrete delaminations using liquid droplet excitation. NDT & E International, 2012; 51: 41 DOI: 10.1016/j.ndteint.2012.05.007

Note: If no author is given, the source is cited instead.

Disclaimer: Views expressed in this article do not necessarily reflect those of ScienceDaily or its staff.

Source: http://feeds.sciencedaily.com/~r/sciencedaily/~3/3PdGixgyWSg/121022162701.htm

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Nokia's Latest Lumia Is Certainly Cheap, But Not Too Cheerful

This is Nokia's latest budget Lumia, the 510. Slotting in between the Lumia 610 and the Asha feature phone range, it's certainly budget-friendly—which is why it's being billed as a smartphone for the developing world. More »


Source: http://feeds.gawker.com/~r/gizmodo/full/~3/YjwH71p5cUk/nokias-latest-lumia-is-certainly-cheap-but-not-too-cheerful

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Monday, October 22, 2012

Ancestry.com Agrees To $1.6 Billion Cash Buyout Led By European Private Equity Firm Permira, Eyes ?New Geographies?

ancestryGenealogy website Ancestry.com -- which filed for an IPO back in 2009 -- has agreed to be acquired by an investor group led by European private equity firm Permira in a deal said to be worth about $1.6 billion, or $32 per share, the Wall Street Journal is reporting. The paper cites "people familiar with the matter" who point to expansion in Western Europe as a goal.

Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/Techcrunch/~3/X1EMtJWlg0Y/

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Best bets: 'Cloud Atlas' floats on Oscar buzz

By Gael Fashingbauer Cooper, NBC News

There's one promising major movie coming out this week ("Cloud Atlas") plus a bunch of titles that look awful ("Fun Size," Chasing Mavericks," "Silent Hill" Revelation 3D"). So if "Cloud Atlas" and its complex storylines aren't your thing, you may want to check the new DVD titles, which include "Magic Mike" and "Abraham Lincoln, Vampire Hunter."

TUESDAY: 'Magic Mike' on DVD and Blu-ray
Girls' night in! If you missed "Magic Mike" in theaters, or if you just want to see?Channing Tatum, Alex Pettyfer, Matt Bomer, Joe Manganiello and Matthew McConaughey boogieing it up as male strippers once again, you can scoop it up on DVD or Blu-ray this week. The film was probably better than it needed to be for all the naked eye candy it offered up. It performed magic at the box office too, where it was such a big hit that a sequel is planned. Matthew McConaughey steals the show as Dallas, the older stripper who now owns the club at the heart of the film. (Out on DVD and Blu-ray Oct. 23.)

TUESDAY: 'Abraham Lincoln, Vampire Hunter'
Steven Spielberg's "Lincoln," a serious look at the beloved president, comes out in a month. You'll never confuse that film with "Abraham Lincoln Vampire Hunter," which came out earlier this year and is now on DVD and Blu-ray. In "Vampire Hunter," Lincoln learns at a young age that there's a whole supernatural world of bloodsuckers out there. By the time he's president, he's fighting two armies, the Confederates and the vamps. Critics gave it mixed reviews, but it's a fun night's rental. (Out on DVD and Blu-ray Oct. 23.)

FRIDAY: 'Cloud Atlas'
Do we start the Oscar buzz now? Tom Hanks and Halle Berry star in "Cloud Atlas," the new film based on David Mitchell's 2004 novel. It reportedly received a whopping 10-minute standing ovation when it premiered at the Toronto Film Festival. But the trailer doesn't make the movie's plot immediately clear. The film winds together numerous storylines and spans centuries. Don't think you can just sit back and let it wash over you, either: Variety's critic calls the film: "an intense three-hour mental workout rewarded with a big emotional payoff." But can it suck in enough regular moviegoers willing to tackle that workout? (Opens Oct. 26.)

?

Source: http://entertainment.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/10/18/14539829-best-bets-complex-cloud-atlas-floating-on-oscar-buzz?lite

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Climate variability and conflict risk in East Africa measured by researchers

ScienceDaily (Oct. 22, 2012) ? While a new study led by the University of Colorado Boulder shows the risk of human conflict in East Africa increases somewhat with hotter temperatures and drops a bit with higher precipitation, it concludes that socioeconomic, political and geographic factors play a much more substantial role than climate change.

According to CU-Boulder geography Professor John O'Loughlin, the new CU-Boulder study undertaken with the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder is an attempt to clarify the often-contradictory debate on whether climate change is affecting armed conflicts in Africa. "We wanted to get beyond the specific idea and hype of climate wars," he said. "The idea was to bring together a team perspective to see if changes in rainfall and temperature led to more conflict in vulnerable areas of East Africa."

The research team examined extensive climate datasets from nine countries in East Africa, including the Horn of Africa, between 1990 and 2009: Burundi, Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, Somalia, Tanzania and Uganda. The team also used a dataset containing more than 16,000 violent conflicts in those countries during that time period, parsing out more specific information on conflict location and under what type of political, social, economic and geographic conditions each incident took place.

The study, which included changes in precipitation and temperature over continuous six-month periods from 1949 to 2009, also showed there was no climate effect on East African conflicts during normal and drier precipitation periods or during periods of average and cooler temperatures, said O'Loughlin.

Moderate increases in temperature reduced the risk of conflict slightly after controlling for the influence of social and political conditions, but very hot temperatures increased the risk of conflict, said O'Loughlin. Unusually wet periods also reduced the risk of conflict, according to the new study.

"The relationship between climate change and conflict in East Africa is incredibly complex and varies hugely by country and time period," he said. "The simplistic arguments we hear on both sides are not accurate, especially those by pessimists who talk about 'climate wars'. Compared to social, economic and political factors, climate factors adding to conflict risk are really quite modest."

The results are being published online Oct. 22 in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. Co-authors on the study include CU-Boulder Research Associate Frank Witmer and graduate student Andrew Linke as well as three scientists from the National Center for Atmospheric research -- Arlene Laing, Andrew Gettelman and Jimy Dudhia. The National Science Foundation funded the study.

Much of the information on the 16,359 violent events in East Africa from 1990 to 2009 came from the Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset, or ACLED, directed by Clionadh Raleigh of Trinity College in Dublin. The database covers individual conflicts from 1997 to 2009 in Africa, parts of Asia and Haiti -- more than 60,000 violent incidents to date. Raleigh started the data collection while earning her doctorate at CU in 2007 under O'Loughlin.

In addition, more than a dozen CU-Boulder undergraduates spent thousands of hours combing online information sources like LexisNexis -- a corporation that pioneered the electronic accessibility of legal and newspaper documents -- in order to fill in details of individual violent conflicts by East African countries from 1990 to 1997. The student work was funded by the NSF's Research Experiences for Undergraduates program.

The CU students coded each conflict event with very specific data, including geographic location coordinates, dates, people and descriptive classifications. The event information was then aggregated into months and into 100-kilometer grid cells that serve as the units of analysis for quantitative modeling.

Each conflict grid also was coded by socioeconomic and political characteristics like ethnic leadership, distance to an international border, capital city, local population size, well-being as measured by infant mortality, the extent of political rights, presidential election activity, road network density, the health of vegetation and crop conditions.

"The effects of climate variability on conflict risk is different in different countries," O'Loughlin said. "Typically conflicts are very local and quite confined. The effects of climate on conflict in Ethiopia, for example, are different than those in Tanzania or Somalia. The idea that there is a general 'African effect' for conflict is wrong."

The researchers used a variety of complex statistical calculations to assess the role of climate in violent conflict in East Africa, including regression models and a technique to uncover nonlinear influences and decrease "noise," said O'Loughlin, also a faculty member at CU-Boulder's Institute of Behavioral Science.

One component of the methods used by the team extracts predictions of individual instances of conflict from the statistical model and systematically compared them with the actual observations of conflict in the data, "a rigorous validity check," he said.

Catastrophic conflicts like those in the "Great Lakes region" -- Rwanda, Burundi, Uganda and the eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo -- since the 1990s and the war with the Lord's Resistance Army led by terrorist Joseph Kony that has been running since the late 1980s in northern Uganda and neighboring regions are marked with large red swaths on the maps.

Legacies of violence are extremely important for understanding and explaining unrest, he said. "Violence nearby and prior violence in the locality, especially for heavily populated areas, are the strongest predictors of conflict."

Ongoing work is extending the study to all of sub-Saharan Africa since 1980 with a database of 63,000 violent events. Preliminary results from the work confirm the East African climate effects of higher than normal temperatures are increasing conflict risk.

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The above story is reprinted from materials provided by University of Colorado at Boulder.

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Journal Reference:

  1. John O?Loughlin, Frank D. W. Witmer, Andrew M. Linke, Arlene Laing, Andrew Gettelman, and Jimy Dudhia. Climate variability and conflict risk in East Africa, 1990?2009. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2012; DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1205130109

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Source: http://feeds.sciencedaily.com/~r/sciencedaily/top_news/~3/lFUrFGf1wsY/121022162649.htm

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